 & & & & \multicolumn{12}{c}{ \textbf{Interaction term:} } \\
& \multicolumn{6}{c}{ \textbf{Main effect} } & \multicolumn{6}{c}{ \textbf{Std. Performance} }  & \multicolumn{6}{c}{ \textbf{Std. Policy alignment} } \\
\cmidrule(lr{0.5em}){2-7} \cmidrule(lr{0.5em}){8-13} \cmidrule(lr{0.5em}){14-19}
\textbf{2. Polling station-level} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{(1)} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{(2)} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{(3)} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{(4)} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{(5)} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{(6)} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{(7)} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{(8)} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{(9)} \\ \midrule
\textbf{A. Incumbent}&                  &         &                  &         &                  &         &                  &         &                  &         &                  &         &                  &         &                  &         &                  &         \\
\hspace{0.1cm} \textit{Intensive Invite}&    0.048\sym{*}  &  (0.024)&    0.043\sym{*}  &  (0.023)&    0.050\sym{**} &  (0.023)&    0.047\sym{**} &  (0.023)&    0.042\sym{*}  &  (0.022)&    0.050\sym{**} &  (0.022)&    0.045\sym{*}  &  (0.024)&    0.039\sym{*}  &  (0.023)&    0.048\sym{**} &  (0.023)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Candidate party: UP&   -0.113\sym{**} &  (0.047)&   -0.085\sym{**} &  (0.041)&   -0.121\sym{**} &  (0.047)&   -0.090\sym{*}  &  (0.045)&   -0.075\sym{*}  &  (0.039)&   -0.096\sym{**} &  (0.045)&   -0.120\sym{**} &  (0.050)&   -0.095\sym{**} &  (0.044)&   -0.126\sym{**} &  (0.050)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: N candidates&   -0.014         &  (0.008)&   -0.007         &  (0.010)&   -0.016\sym{**} &  (0.008)&   -0.015\sym{**} &  (0.007)&   -0.010         &  (0.008)&   -0.016\sym{**} &  (0.007)&   -0.014\sym{*}  &  (0.008)&   -0.007         &  (0.010)&   -0.017\sym{**} &  (0.008)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: incumbent running&   -0.132\sym{**} &  (0.057)&   -0.141\sym{**} &  (0.059)&   -0.137\sym{**} &  (0.056)&   -0.208\sym{***}&  (0.057)&   -0.221\sym{***}&  (0.057)&   -0.213\sym{***}&  (0.058)&   -0.135\sym{**} &  (0.059)&   -0.149\sym{**} &  (0.062)&   -0.139\sym{**} &  (0.057)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: log reg voters&    0.128         &  (0.108)&    0.167         &  (0.106)&    0.135         &  (0.104)&    0.192\sym{*}  &  (0.109)&    0.248\sym{**} &  (0.106)&    0.194\sym{*}  &  (0.107)&    0.123         &  (0.110)&    0.169         &  (0.108)&    0.129         &  (0.105)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: N debates&    0.100\sym{*}  &  (0.054)&    0.050         &  (0.056)&    0.117\sym{**} &  (0.052)&    0.088\sym{*}  &  (0.047)&    0.048         &  (0.050)&    0.100\sym{**} &  (0.045)&    0.104\sym{*}  &  (0.056)&    0.050         &  (0.057)&    0.121\sym{**} &  (0.053)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: 2011 1st voteshare&    0.289         &  (0.431)&    0.086         &  (0.416)&    0.350         &  (0.446)&   -0.377         &  (0.455)&   -0.554         &  (0.462)&   -0.334         &  (0.472)&    0.291         &  (0.431)&    0.084         &  (0.416)&    0.352         &  (0.446)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: 2011 2nd voteshare&    1.030\sym{***}&  (0.371)&    0.932\sym{**} &  (0.364)&    1.020\sym{***}&  (0.363)&    0.695\sym{**} &  (0.342)&    0.659\sym{*}  &  (0.339)&    0.696\sym{**} &  (0.332)&    0.944\sym{***}&  (0.341)&    0.862\sym{**} &  (0.342)&    0.946\sym{***}&  (0.326)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: 2011 3rd voteshare&   -0.632         &  (0.529)&   -0.862         &  (0.525)&   -0.572         &  (0.522)&   -0.418         &  (0.482)&   -0.554         &  (0.485)&   -0.387         &  (0.476)&   -0.615         &  (0.541)&   -0.833         &  (0.527)&   -0.561         &  (0.532)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: 2011 HHI&   -0.367         &  (0.514)&   -0.094         &  (0.500)&   -0.461         &  (0.529)&    0.547         &  (0.562)&    0.796         &  (0.578)&    0.469         &  (0.575)&   -0.369         &  (0.513)&   -0.088         &  (0.501)&   -0.462         &  (0.528)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: 2011 turnout&   -1.846\sym{*}  &  (1.055)&   -2.039\sym{*}  &  (1.048)&   -2.050\sym{*}  &  (1.043)&   -3.292\sym{***}&  (1.103)&   -3.455\sym{***}&  (1.054)&   -3.480\sym{***}&  (1.103)&   -1.696         &  (1.140)&   -1.891\sym{*}  &  (1.119)&   -1.934\sym{*}  &  (1.122)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: share candidates who ran before in 2011&    0.415\sym{*}  &  (0.230)&    0.416\sym{*}  &  (0.214)&    0.435\sym{*}  &  (0.225)&    0.592\sym{***}&  (0.213)&    0.609\sym{***}&  (0.207)&    0.612\sym{***}&  (0.207)&    0.388\sym{*}  &  (0.215)&    0.394\sym{*}  &  (0.199)&    0.413\sym{*}  &  (0.212)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: log pop density&    0.011         &  (0.033)&    0.026         &  (0.030)&    0.011         &  (0.034)&    0.051         &  (0.031)&    0.065\sym{**} &  (0.028)&    0.049         &  (0.032)&    0.008         &  (0.035)&    0.022         &  (0.032)&    0.009         &  (0.035)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: share with GSM coverage&   -0.291\sym{**} &  (0.130)&   -0.338\sym{**} &  (0.128)&   -0.297\sym{**} &  (0.131)&   -0.527\sym{***}&  (0.156)&   -0.585\sym{***}&  (0.159)&   -0.516\sym{***}&  (0.154)&   -0.276\sym{*}  &  (0.142)&   -0.325\sym{**} &  (0.138)&   -0.285\sym{**} &  (0.141)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: share own radio&   -0.223         &  (0.188)&   -0.272         &  (0.186)&   -0.270         &  (0.190)&   -0.389\sym{**} &  (0.185)&   -0.460\sym{**} &  (0.186)&   -0.420\sym{**} &  (0.188)&   -0.229         &  (0.186)&   -0.282         &  (0.181)&   -0.276         &  (0.188)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: share get radio news often&    0.131         &  (0.203)&    0.090         &  (0.211)&    0.192         &  (0.201)&    0.392\sym{*}  &  (0.205)&    0.419\sym{*}  &  (0.218)&    0.424\sym{**} &  (0.202)&    0.147         &  (0.199)&    0.105         &  (0.207)&    0.206         &  (0.198)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: share over 18&   -2.602\sym{*}  &  (1.418)&   -2.957\sym{**} &  (1.342)&   -2.743\sym{*}  &  (1.401)&   -3.863\sym{**} &  (1.455)&   -3.867\sym{***}&  (1.375)&   -4.015\sym{***}&  (1.414)&   -2.366         &  (1.486)&   -2.714\sym{*}  &  (1.374)&   -2.558\sym{*}  &  (1.473)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: share have secondary ed&   -0.645         &  (0.587)&   -0.937\sym{*}  &  (0.540)&   -0.578         &  (0.572)&   -0.595         &  (0.553)&   -0.882\sym{*}  &  (0.525)&   -0.544         &  (0.534)&   -0.635         &  (0.570)&   -0.929\sym{*}  &  (0.525)&   -0.567         &  (0.560)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: average N radio stations covering each locality&    0.015\sym{***}&  (0.005)&    0.014\sym{***}&  (0.005)&    0.017\sym{***}&  (0.005)&    0.020\sym{***}&  (0.005)&    0.019\sym{***}&  (0.005)&    0.021\sym{***}&  (0.005)&    0.015\sym{***}&  (0.005)&    0.014\sym{***}&  (0.005)&    0.017\sym{***}&  (0.005)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ED: scheduled debate week&   -0.176\sym{*}  &  (0.091)&   -0.141\sym{*}  &  (0.082)&   -0.196\sym{**} &  (0.090)&   -0.271\sym{***}&  (0.093)&   -0.237\sym{***}&  (0.086)&   -0.286\sym{***}&  (0.091)&   -0.177\sym{*}  &  (0.090)&   -0.143\sym{*}  &  (0.082)&   -0.198\sym{**} &  (0.090)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Number of PS in VRC&    0.006         &  (0.006)&    0.006         &  (0.006)&    0.005         &  (0.006)&    0.006         &  (0.006)&    0.005         &  (0.006)&    0.005         &  (0.006)&    0.006         &  (0.006)&    0.006         &  (0.006)&    0.005         &  (0.006)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} VRC added in 2017&    0.019         &  (0.014)&    0.028\sym{*}  &  (0.015)&    0.018         &  (0.015)&    0.021         &  (0.014)&    0.030\sym{**} &  (0.015)&    0.020         &  (0.015)&    0.019         &  (0.014)&    0.028\sym{*}  &  (0.015)&    0.017         &  (0.015)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Number of PS in VRC (2011)&   -0.030         &  (0.019)&   -0.040\sym{**} &  (0.019)&   -0.028         &  (0.019)&   -0.028         &  (0.019)&   -0.038\sym{*}  &  (0.019)&   -0.027         &  (0.019)&   -0.029         &  (0.018)&   -0.039\sym{**} &  (0.019)&   -0.027         &  (0.019)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Number of registered voters in VRC (2011)&    0.000         &  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{*}  &  (0.000)&    0.000         &  (0.000)&    0.000         &  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{*}  &  (0.000)&    0.000         &  (0.000)&    0.000         &  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{*}  &  (0.000)&    0.000         &  (0.000)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Turnout (2011)&   -0.051         &  (0.114)&   -0.038         &  (0.124)&   -0.045         &  (0.117)&   -0.025         &  (0.107)&   -0.011         &  (0.115)&   -0.017         &  (0.109)&   -0.046         &  (0.112)&   -0.032         &  (0.121)&   -0.041         &  (0.115)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Share of invalid votes (2011)&   -0.107         &  (0.236)&   -0.205         &  (0.251)&   -0.103         &  (0.243)&   -0.197         &  (0.237)&   -0.291         &  (0.253)&   -0.195         &  (0.242)&   -0.116         &  (0.236)&   -0.214         &  (0.252)&   -0.113         &  (0.243)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Number of registered voters in PS (2017)&    0.000\sym{***}&  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{***}&  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{***}&  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{***}&  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{***}&  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{***}&  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{***}&  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{**} &  (0.000)&    0.000\sym{**} &  (0.000)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} PS covered by partner radio station&    0.025         &  (0.026)&    0.049         &  (0.030)&    0.012         &  (0.025)&    0.017         &  (0.025)&    0.038         &  (0.028)&    0.006         &  (0.024)&    0.026         &  (0.026)&    0.050\sym{*}  &  (0.030)&    0.013         &  (0.025)\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Urban PS&    0.010         &  (0.014)&    0.007         &  (0.017)&    0.010         &  (0.014)&    0.010         &  (0.014)&    0.008         &  (0.017)&    0.011         &  (0.014)&    0.008         &  (0.014)&    0.006         &  (0.017)&    0.009         &  (0.014)\\
\midrule
\hspace{0.1cm} Control Mean&    0.246         &         &    0.246         &         &    0.250         &         &    0.246         &         &    0.246         &         &    0.250         &         &    0.246         &         &    0.246         &         &    0.250         &         \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Observations&    4,618         &         &    4,618         &         &    4,618         &         &    4,618         &         &    4,618         &         &    4,618         &         &    4,618         &         &    4,618         &         &    4,618         &         \\
